Bitcoin
CME’s New Crypto Index Future Is Not Just Another Bitcoin Product
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CME has spent years giving institutions regulated ways to trade crypto without touching the coins themselves. First came bitcoin futures. Then ether. Then smaller contracts, options, and a gradually expanding digital asset suite. Now the exchange is moving into a broader phase: a single futures product tied to a basket of major cryptocurrencies. That may sound like a technical addition to an already crowded derivatives market, but it signals something more important. Crypto is being packaged less like a speculative single-asset trade and more like a recognized market segment.
The new Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures are cash-settled, regulated contracts that track a market-cap-weighted crypto index rather than one individual token. In practical terms, this gives institutions a way to hedge or express broad crypto exposure through CME’s established futures infrastructure, without managing wallets, private keys, exchange custody, token transfers or individual spot positions.
That makes the product less dramatic than a new altcoin ETF approval, but potentially more useful for professional trading desks. CME is not selling crypto ideology. It is selling portfolio exposure, risk management and operational familiarity.
The Details Matter
The broad claim is correct: CME has launched Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures, and trading is officially underway. The product is financially settled, meaning traders do not receive bitcoin, ether or any other underlying token at expiration. They settle in cash based on the value of the relevant index.
This is an important feature for institutional participants. Many funds, banks, asset managers and commodity trading advisers can trade regulated futures more easily than they can hold crypto directly. They may already have futures infrastructure, clearing relationships, risk systems and internal approval processes built around CME products. A cash-settled index future lets them treat crypto exposure more like equity index, commodity or rate exposure.
The basket is also important, but it should not be misunderstood. This is not an equal-weighted index where Solana, XRP, Cardano or Chainlink have the same influence as bitcoin. It is market-cap weighted. That means bitcoin dominates the product, followed by ether, with the rest of the basket representing much smaller shares.
According to Nasdaq index data from March 31, 2026, bitcoin accounted for nearly 77% of the index, while ether represented about 12.7%. XRP was under 6%, Solana just over 3%, and Cardano, Chainlink and Stellar Lumens were all below 1% each. Bitcoin cash appears in the settlement index materials as part of the eight-asset basket.
So while this is a multi-coin crypto future, it is still mostly a bitcoin-led exposure product. That is not a flaw. It is exactly how a market-cap-weighted crypto benchmark would be expected to behave. But it means investors should not confuse “multi-coin” with “balanced altcoin exposure.”
Why CME Is Going Broader
CME’s move reflects a shift in institutional crypto demand. The first wave of regulated crypto derivatives was about bitcoin. That made sense. Bitcoin had the clearest macro narrative, the deepest liquidity, the strongest brand and the easiest institutional framing as “digital gold” or a high-volatility alternative asset.
The second wave brought ether into the picture. Ethereum added a different kind of exposure: smart contracts, DeFi, staking economics and tokenized infrastructure. But even with ether futures, institutional crypto exposure remained narrow. The market itself had become broader than the regulated derivatives toolkit available to many professional participants.
A crypto index future helps solve that problem. Instead of choosing between bitcoin, ether or a complicated basket of individual instruments, traders can use one contract to gain exposure to a wider digital asset benchmark. That is how traditional markets matured. Investors do not only trade Apple or Microsoft. They trade the Nasdaq-100, the S&P 500, sector indices and volatility products. CME and Nasdaq are applying that logic to crypto.
The timing is also notable. Spot crypto ETFs have already changed institutional access to bitcoin and ether. But ETFs are not always the best tool for every professional strategy. Futures can be more capital-efficient, easier to short, better suited for hedging and more practical for tactical exposure. A multi-coin futures contract gives professional traders another instrument in the toolkit.
This Is About Risk Management, Not Just Speculation
Crypto headlines often focus on price direction. Will bitcoin go up? Will Solana outperform? Will XRP rally? CME’s product is more about structure than prediction.
A fund with crypto exposure may want to hedge broad market downside without selling spot holdings. A market maker may need to manage inventory risk across several tokens. A macro trader may want to express a view on crypto beta without selecting individual winners. A portfolio manager may want to adjust digital asset exposure quickly around volatility events, ETF flows, regulatory decisions or liquidity shocks.
An index future can serve all of those use cases. It gives traders a way to manage crypto as a basket, not just as a collection of isolated coins.
This is especially relevant because crypto correlations often rise during market stress. In bull markets, investors debate which token has the best technology, ecosystem or narrative. In selloffs, the whole market often trades like one high-beta risk asset. A broad futures contract is useful because it reflects how crypto frequently behaves in institutional portfolios: not as eight separate philosophical communities, but as one volatile asset class with internal rotations.
The Product Is Regulated, But Crypto Risk Remains
The regulated venue is central to CME’s pitch. The contracts are listed on CME and subject to CME rules. For institutional participants, that means familiar clearing, margining, surveillance and settlement procedures. It also means they do not need to rely on offshore crypto derivatives platforms or unregulated perpetual swaps to gain broad exposure.
This matters because crypto derivatives activity has historically been dominated by offshore venues and perpetual futures. Perpetuals are popular because they trade continuously, offer high leverage and do not expire. But they also introduce funding-rate complexity, liquidation risk and structural differences that many traditional institutions dislike.
CME’s index futures offer a more conventional alternative. They have the familiar mechanics of regulated futures rather than the crypto-native structure of perpetual swaps. That may appeal to institutions that want exposure but do not want the operational or governance risks associated with offshore venues.
Still, regulation does not remove market risk. A regulated crypto index future can still be extremely volatile. It can still experience sharp drawdowns. It can still be affected by liquidity shocks, exchange outages, regulatory headlines, ETF flows, hacks, stablecoin stress and macro risk-off moves. CME reduces infrastructure uncertainty. It does not make crypto safe.
Bitcoin Still Controls the Basket
The most important nuance is the index weighting. Calling the product “multi-coin” is accurate, but the actual exposure is heavily concentrated in bitcoin.
That has strategic consequences. Traders using the contract are mostly expressing a view on broad crypto beta, but bitcoin remains the primary driver. Ether matters meaningfully. XRP and Solana have smaller but visible influence. The remaining assets are far more marginal.
This weighting reflects the structure of the crypto market itself. Bitcoin still commands the largest share of market value and liquidity. A market-cap-weighted index naturally follows that reality. But it also means the product may not satisfy investors looking for pure altcoin exposure.
For example, a trader who is specifically bullish on Solana relative to bitcoin may still prefer SOL futures or spot exposure. A trader who wants a high-beta altcoin basket may need a different product. CME’s new index future is better understood as a regulated crypto market benchmark, not an aggressive altcoin rotation tool.
That could actually make it more attractive to institutions. Most professional allocators do not begin with a desire to pick individual crypto winners. They begin with the question of whether crypto as a sector deserves a place in the portfolio. A bitcoin-heavy index is easier to justify than a speculative equal-weight basket of smaller tokens.
Nasdaq Gives the Product Benchmark Credibility
The Nasdaq partnership matters because institutional markets run on benchmarks. A futures contract is only as useful as the index behind it. Traders need to understand how assets are selected, how weights are calculated, how rebalancing works and whether the methodology is credible.
Nasdaq describes the index as designed to track a diverse basket of USD-traded digital assets, with liquidity, exchange and custody standards applied to eligibility. It is free-float market-cap weighted and rebalanced and reconstituted quarterly. These details may sound dry, but they are what make an index tradable for professional users.
Crypto has always struggled with benchmark quality. Spot markets are fragmented across exchanges. Liquidity varies widely by venue. Some assets have questionable float dynamics. Others have large insider allocations, thin order books or unclear custody support. A credible index methodology helps filter that universe into something institutions can actually trade.
That does not make the index perfect. Crypto indices will always face challenges around market structure, token supply, exchange reliability and asset eligibility. But the involvement of Nasdaq and CME gives the product a level of institutional legitimacy that crypto-native baskets often lack.
A Sign of Crypto’s Maturation
The launch also shows how crypto is becoming more modular in traditional finance. Investors now have spot ETFs, single-token futures, options, perpetual-style products, structured notes, private funds and index exposure. The market is no longer defined by one way of participating.
This is what maturation looks like. Not every new product needs to be revolutionary. Some are plumbing. Some are risk tools. Some are wrappers that make crypto easier to fit into existing financial systems. CME’s multi-coin index future belongs in that category.
For crypto-native traders, this may look less exciting than a new token launch. For institutions, it may be more important. Asset classes become durable when they develop reliable hedging tools, standardized benchmarks and regulated venues. CME’s product does not guarantee more capital will enter crypto, but it lowers the operational friction for capital that already wants exposure.
It also creates new possibilities for relative-value trading. Traders can compare the index future against bitcoin futures, ether futures, spot ETFs or offshore perpetuals. They can hedge basket exposure against individual tokens. They can arbitrage pricing differences between regulated and crypto-native markets. Over time, these strategies can deepen liquidity and improve price discovery.
The Competitive Context
CME is also defending its territory. The crypto derivatives landscape is changing quickly, especially as perpetual futures gain more regulatory attention in the United States. Offshore platforms built enormous businesses around crypto perps because they offered speed, leverage and constant trading. Traditional exchanges now face pressure to show that regulated futures can remain relevant as crypto-native derivatives become more accessible.
The Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures are part of that response. CME is not trying to imitate offshore perps directly. It is leaning into what it does best: regulated, cleared, institutionally familiar futures products.
That distinction is important. Retail traders may still prefer perpetuals for leverage and simplicity. Institutions may prefer CME for governance, clearing and risk controls. The market can support both. But CME’s broader crypto index product makes its venue more complete and more competitive.
What It Means for the Included Tokens
For bitcoin and ether, inclusion is unsurprising. They are already the institutional core of crypto. For Solana, XRP, Cardano, Chainlink, Stellar and bitcoin cash, inclusion in a CME-linked index is more symbolically important.
It does not mean CME is endorsing the investment case for each asset. It means those assets met the index’s eligibility and market representation criteria. Still, being part of a regulated benchmark can strengthen institutional visibility. Tokens included in recognized indices are easier for analysts, traders and risk committees to monitor. They become part of the professional market map.
Solana’s presence reflects its growing importance as a high-performance smart contract ecosystem. XRP’s weighting reflects its large market capitalization and persistent liquidity. Chainlink’s inclusion recognizes its role as infrastructure for data and oracle services. Stellar and bitcoin cash have smaller weights, but their presence shows the index is not limited to the two dominant assets.
The effect should not be exaggerated. Index inclusion alone does not create fundamental value. But it can influence how assets are perceived and traded within institutional frameworks.
The Bottom Line
CME’s Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures are not just another crypto listing. They represent a shift from single-coin access toward benchmark-based crypto exposure inside regulated markets.
The product gives institutions a cash-settled, market-cap-weighted way to trade a basket of major cryptocurrencies through CME. It is broader than bitcoin and ether alone, but still heavily driven by bitcoin because of the index’s weighting. That makes it a practical tool for broad crypto beta rather than a pure altcoin bet.
The launch also shows where crypto market structure is heading. The next phase will not be defined only by spot ETFs or individual token speculation. It will be shaped by indices, futures, options, hedging tools and regulated benchmarks that make digital assets easier to integrate into traditional portfolios.
Crypto is becoming less of a coin-by-coin casino and more of an asset class with institutional rails. CME’s new index future is one more sign that the market is growing up — even if bitcoin still sits at the center of the basket.
Bitcoin
BlackRock’s Bitcoin-to-Ethereum Rotation Is a Tactical Signal, Not a Regime Change
For most of the institutional crypto era, capital has followed a predictable route: enter through Bitcoin, establish a core position and consider everything else later. This week, that sequence briefly changed. BlackRock’s Bitcoin product recorded redemptions while its Ethereum vehicles attracted fresh capital, offering one of the clearest signs yet that professional investors are beginning to treat the two largest digital assets as competing portfolio allocations rather than interchangeable expressions of crypto exposure.
According to Arkham, clients withdrew approximately $60 million from BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust, or IBIT, during the opening sessions of the week. Over the same period, more than $20 million moved into Ethereum associated with the asset manager’s Ether products.
The numbers are modest relative to BlackRock’s enormous digital-asset holdings, but the direction matters. Institutional investors were not simply reducing cryptocurrency exposure. At least for a brief window, they appeared to be exchanging part of their Bitcoin allocation for Ethereum.
That is a more consequential signal than a conventional risk-off withdrawal. It suggests that the institutional crypto trade is entering a more sophisticated phase—one driven by relative valuation, yield potential and portfolio construction rather than a binary decision between owning Bitcoin and remaining outside the market.
The Rotation That Caught the Market’s Attention
The initial flow pattern emerged during the trading sessions of July 27 and July 28. IBIT recorded combined net outflows of approximately $63.6 million, while BlackRock’s Ethereum products attracted roughly $21.1 million.
Most of the Ethereum allocation entered the iShares Ethereum Trust ETF, known as ETHA, while a smaller portion flowed into the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF, or ETHB. The latter offers exposure not only to Ether’s market price but also to potential staking rewards generated by participating in Ethereum’s proof-of-stake security system.
Arkham’s on-chain monitoring supported the ETF-flow picture. Bitcoin connected to IBIT-related custody moved toward wallets associated with redemption activity, while Ether entered BlackRock-labeled addresses. The parallel movements created the appearance of an active switch from one asset to the other.
That interpretation, however, requires an important qualification. ETF data cannot prove that the exact same investors sold IBIT and purchased ETHA or ETHB. Net flows aggregate the decisions of many market participants, including advisers, hedge funds, wealth platforms, market makers and individual brokerage clients.
The data therefore reveals a rotation at the product level, not a confirmed transaction in which one identifiable institution exchanged Bitcoin for Ethereum.
Even so, simultaneous outflows from one BlackRock crypto product and inflows into another are meaningful. They show that investors are increasingly willing to make relative choices inside the digital-asset category.
A Tactical Move That Quickly Evolved
The most recent completed trading session adds another layer to the story.
On July 29, IBIT attracted approximately $89.8 million in fresh capital, more than reversing its outflows from the previous two sessions. BlackRock’s Ethereum products also continued to receive money, adding approximately $5.2 million, although the broader US Ethereum ETF market ended the day with net redemptions.
Across the first three sessions of the week, IBIT consequently moved back to a net inflow of roughly $26.2 million. BlackRock’s combined Ethereum products collected almost exactly the same amount, approximately $26.3 million.
That updated picture does not invalidate the rotation observed earlier in the week. Instead, it defines its character.
This was not a wholesale migration away from Bitcoin. It was a tactical rebalancing episode in which Ethereum briefly captured capital while Bitcoin was being reduced, followed by renewed demand for both assets.
The distinction is important because crypto markets frequently interpret short-term ETF activity as evidence of a permanent institutional change. A few trading sessions rarely provide enough information to establish a durable trend. Portfolio rebalancing, liquidity management, options hedging, tax considerations and short-term basis trades can all influence daily flows.
A lasting rotation would require persistent Ethereum inflows combined with sustained Bitcoin redemptions over several weeks, preferably across multiple issuers rather than within a single asset manager’s product range.
Why Ethereum Is Receiving a Fresh Institutional Look
Ethereum’s renewed appeal is not difficult to understand.
Bitcoin remains the most established institutional crypto asset, with the clearest monetary narrative and the deepest pool of regulated investment products. Ethereum offers a different proposition. It is simultaneously an asset, a programmable settlement network and the economic foundation for a large segment of decentralized finance, stablecoins and tokenized financial instruments.
For investors, that combination creates several potential sources of value. Ether can appreciate alongside network adoption, function as collateral across on-chain markets and generate staking rewards when committed to network validation.
The arrival of ETHB has made the final component more accessible through conventional brokerage infrastructure. Rather than arranging custody, operating validator infrastructure or selecting a staking provider, investors can obtain exposure through a listed BlackRock product designed to capture Ether’s price movement alongside potential staking income.
That changes the comparison with Bitcoin.
IBIT provides relatively direct exposure to an asset commonly positioned as scarce digital collateral. ETHB presents Ethereum as a productive asset with an embedded income component. For institutional allocators working under return targets, the possibility of yield can become particularly attractive when price appreciation alone is uncertain.
Ethereum has also experienced substantial underperformance. BlackRock’s ETHA showed a year-to-date decline of more than 35% by late July. For momentum investors, that weakness is a warning. For relative-value investors, it can create an entry point—especially when the long-term investment thesis remains intact.
The rotation may therefore reflect less enthusiasm for Ethereum’s immediate price trend than a judgment that its risk-reward profile has improved relative to Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Still Holds the Institutional Center
Any suggestion that Ethereum is replacing Bitcoin in institutional portfolios would be premature.
IBIT held approximately $47 billion in net assets as of July 29. BlackRock’s Ethereum products together controlled roughly $6.1 billion. The Bitcoin vehicle was still almost eight times larger than the asset manager’s combined Ether offering.
That gap illustrates how deeply Bitcoin remains embedded as the default institutional gateway into digital assets.
Bitcoin benefits from a simple investment case. Its fixed supply, extensive liquidity, long operating history and growing recognition as a non-sovereign reserve asset can be explained without requiring an investor to forecast activity across applications, staking markets or scaling networks.
Ethereum demands a more complex analytical framework. Its value depends partly on usage, transaction economics, monetary policy, staking participation, competition among blockchains and the relationship between the main network and its expanding layer-two ecosystem.
That complexity can produce additional upside, but it also introduces more variables.
For conservative allocators, Bitcoin is therefore likely to remain the core position. Ethereum increasingly looks like a satellite allocation capable of adding growth, yield and exposure to blockchain-based financial infrastructure.
The emerging portfolio structure is not necessarily Bitcoin or Ethereum. It is Bitcoin as reserve-style collateral and Ethereum as productive digital infrastructure.
Institutional Crypto Is Becoming a Relative-Value Market
The broader significance of this week’s flows is the transition from crypto access to crypto allocation.
During the first phase of institutional adoption, the main challenge was gaining regulated exposure. Investors focused on custody, market integrity, liquidity and compliance. Once spot exchange-traded products solved much of that operational problem, institutions could begin evaluating digital assets using familiar portfolio-management techniques.
That process is now becoming visible.
Investors can adjust the weighting between Bitcoin and Ethereum, choose between unstaked and staked Ether exposure, seek option income through newer Bitcoin products and manage crypto positions alongside traditional assets from the same brokerage and risk-management systems.
BlackRock itself now offers products covering spot Bitcoin, spot Ether, staked Ether and Bitcoin-related option income. The expansion of that lineup gives investors more ways to express specific views without leaving regulated financial infrastructure.
As the product set becomes more complete, crypto ETF flows are likely to become less directional and more strategic. Capital may rotate according to volatility, valuation, yield, liquidity and macroeconomic conditions, much as it already does between technology stocks, bonds, commodities and defensive equities.
This makes daily fund-flow analysis more complicated, but also more informative. A withdrawal from Bitcoin no longer automatically means an exit from crypto. It may represent a move into Ethereum, a yield-oriented vehicle or another digital-asset strategy.
What Would Confirm a Lasting Ethereum Rotation
The next stage of the story depends on persistence.
Ethereum would need to attract capital through both strong and weak market sessions. Inflows limited to periods of Bitcoin selling could indicate temporary hedging or bargain hunting. Consistent allocations during broader market recoveries would suggest that institutions are building strategic positions.
Demand for ETHB will be particularly revealing. Growth in the staked product would show that investors are not merely speculating on Ether’s price but are embracing its role as an income-generating network asset.
The relationship between Ethereum and Bitcoin prices will also matter. ETF flows can lead price movements, but they can also chase them. A sustained improvement in Ethereum’s performance relative to Bitcoin, supported by rising fund demand and network activity, would provide stronger evidence of a structural shift.
For now, the market has received an early signal rather than a final verdict.
BlackRock clients briefly reduced Bitcoin exposure while adding Ethereum, revealing a willingness to rotate within crypto rather than abandon the asset class. Bitcoin demand then returned, while Ethereum continued to attract incremental capital through BlackRock’s product lineup.
The result is not a changing of the guard. It is evidence that institutional crypto portfolios are becoming more dynamic.
Bitcoin remains the anchor. Ethereum is increasingly becoming the alternative institutions can no longer afford to ignore.
Bitcoin
Claude Just Did in 60 Hours What Cryptographers Missed for Years
Artificial intelligence has crossed another threshold—and this time it wasn’t writing code or discovering software bugs. Anthropic says its experimental Claude Mythos Preview model has uncovered entirely new weaknesses in cryptographic algorithms themselves, a milestone that could reshape how researchers think about both AI and digital security.
The company’s Frontier Red Team revealed two significant cryptanalysis results that go beyond implementation flaws or coding mistakes. Instead of finding vulnerabilities in software, Claude helped identify mathematical weaknesses in the underlying algorithms that are designed to secure digital communications.
The findings do not put today’s encryption at risk. Bitcoin remains unaffected, modern versions of AES remain secure, and no production systems are vulnerable. Yet the implications are difficult to ignore. Just one year ago, frontier AI models were largely incapable of contributing meaningful original cryptanalysis. Today, they are producing research worthy of academic publication.
AI Moves Beyond Bug Hunting
Throughout 2026, AI has demonstrated remarkable capabilities in cybersecurity. Models have become increasingly effective at identifying software vulnerabilities, reviewing source code, and even generating working exploits under controlled conditions.
Finding implementation bugs, however, is fundamentally different from discovering weaknesses in cryptographic mathematics.
Modern cryptographic algorithms are among the most heavily scrutinized pieces of mathematics in existence. They undergo years of public analysis by academic researchers before they are ever considered for widespread adoption. Breaking—or even slightly weakening—such algorithms typically requires deep expertise in number theory, algebra, lattice mathematics, probability, and computer science.
According to Anthropic, Claude Mythos Preview has now demonstrated that frontier AI models can meaningfully contribute to this level of research.
The company’s Frontier Red Team described the work as attacks on the algorithms themselves rather than mistakes made by software developers implementing them.
That distinction is significant because implementation bugs can usually be fixed with software updates. Weaknesses in the mathematics behind an algorithm are much harder to address.
HAWK Loses Half Its Effective Security
The most notable result involves HAWK, a post-quantum digital signature algorithm that reached the third round of the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology’s post-quantum cryptography evaluation process.
Post-quantum cryptography aims to protect digital systems against future quantum computers, which could eventually break many of today’s public-key cryptographic methods.
HAWK was designed as one candidate capable of surviving that future.
Claude Mythos Preview reportedly discovered a previously unknown attack in approximately 60 hours that cuts HAWK’s effective security level roughly in half.
The result does not completely break the algorithm, nor does it affect deployed systems. HAWK has not become a widely adopted production standard.
Nevertheless, reducing an algorithm’s effective security by such a large margin represents a meaningful advance in cryptanalysis. For any candidate seeking standardization, newly discovered mathematical attacks significantly weaken its long-term prospects.
Anthropic disclosed the findings to the algorithm’s designers and relevant government partners before publishing the research.
Faster Attacks on Reduced AES
Claude also improved an existing attack against a seven-round version of AES-128.
At first glance, headlines claiming AI “broke AES” sound alarming. They are also misleading.
AES-128, the encryption algorithm protecting everything from banking systems to encrypted messaging applications and Wi-Fi networks, uses ten rounds of encryption.
The research targeted only a seven-round version—a deliberately weakened variant that cryptographers frequently analyze to understand an algorithm’s security margins.
Anthropic says Claude discovered improvements that accelerate the known attack by roughly 200 to 800 times.
Although impressive from a research perspective, the result does not threaten real-world AES encryption. Full AES-128 remains secure, and the newly discovered technique does not extend to the complete algorithm.
Instead, the work demonstrates that AI can contribute meaningful improvements to cryptanalytic research on problems experts have studied for decades.
Bitcoin Is Not Affected
The announcement naturally raises concerns within the cryptocurrency industry.
Fortunately, the immediate impact is essentially zero.
Anthropic explicitly stated that neither SHA-256 nor ECDSA—the two cryptographic foundations securing Bitcoin—are affected by the new discoveries.
SHA-256 continues to secure Bitcoin’s proof-of-work mining process, while ECDSA protects wallet signatures authorizing transactions.
Likewise, Ethereum and most other major cryptocurrencies are unaffected by the published research.
The HAWK attack targets an entirely different signature scheme that has never become part of mainstream blockchain infrastructure.
Similarly, the reduced-round AES research concerns symmetric encryption rather than the public-key cryptography used by cryptocurrency wallets.
For crypto investors, the findings should therefore be viewed as an indicator of future AI capability rather than an immediate security threat.
A New Era for Cryptanalysis
Perhaps the most important aspect of Anthropic’s announcement is not the specific algorithms involved but the speed at which AI produced the results.
According to the company, Claude required roughly 60 hours to identify the HAWK weakness.
The AES research took approximately one week.
Both projects required occasional human guidance rather than fully autonomous operation, but the overwhelming majority of the mathematical exploration was carried out by the model itself.
Anthropic estimates each research effort consumed roughly $100,000 worth of API computation.
Those costs remain substantial today.
Like virtually every major AI capability, however, computational expense has historically fallen rapidly as hardware improves and algorithms become more efficient.
If future generations become both stronger and cheaper, cryptographic research could accelerate dramatically.
AI Is Becoming a Research Partner
For decades, cryptanalysis has largely progressed through incremental advances produced by relatively small groups of academic specialists.
AI introduces an entirely different model.
Instead of replacing human cryptographers, frontier models may increasingly function as research collaborators capable of exploring enormous mathematical search spaces, testing hypotheses, generating proofs, and identifying unexpected attack paths.
Human researchers remain essential for validating discoveries, understanding theoretical implications, and determining whether proposed attacks have practical significance.
Claude did not independently revolutionize cryptography overnight.
But it demonstrated that AI can now contribute original ideas to one of the world’s most mathematically demanding disciplines.
That marks an important shift from earlier generations of language models, which excelled at summarizing existing knowledge but rarely produced novel scientific insights.
Security Researchers Gain a Powerful New Tool
Anthropic frames the research as a defensive capability rather than an offensive one.
Discovering weaknesses before malicious actors do has always been the foundation of modern cryptography.
The company says it privately disclosed its findings to algorithm designers, U.S. government agencies, and industry partners before releasing the results publicly.
This follows a growing trend among frontier AI developers to collaborate directly with cybersecurity organizations, software vendors, and infrastructure operators.
Rather than waiting for attackers to exploit vulnerabilities, companies increasingly hope AI can identify weaknesses early enough for researchers to strengthen systems before widespread deployment.
That philosophy aligns with Anthropic’s broader Project Glasswing initiative, which focuses on using advanced AI models to improve software security.
The cryptanalysis results represent an expansion of that effort from software vulnerabilities into the mathematics underlying digital security itself.
The Bigger Story Is AI’s Trajectory
Neither HAWK nor reduced-round AES represents an immediate crisis.
Production encryption remains secure.
Bitcoin remains secure.
Ethereum remains secure.
But the pace of progress is remarkable.
Only a year ago, frontier AI systems were not capable of producing original cryptanalytic results of this caliber. Today, they are contributing discoveries that would normally require experienced academic researchers working for weeks or months.
That trend matters far beyond the specific algorithms discussed this week.
Cryptography has always evolved alongside advances in mathematics and computing power. Artificial intelligence now appears poised to become another major force shaping that evolution.
Rather than replacing cryptographers, AI is becoming an increasingly capable research assistant—one that never tires, can evaluate vast numbers of mathematical possibilities, and continues improving with each new generation.
For the cybersecurity industry, that creates both an opportunity and a challenge. Defensive research can move faster than ever before, but so can the search for weaknesses.
The race is no longer simply between cryptographers and attackers.
It is increasingly becoming a race between AI systems working on both sides of the equation.
Bitcoin
Sui Brings Bitcoin Into DeFi with Hashi Testnet, Without Traditional Bridges
Bitcoin has long been described as the world’s largest untapped source of decentralized finance liquidity. More than $1 trillion in value sits on the Bitcoin blockchain, yet only a small fraction is actively used in lending, borrowing or other on-chain financial applications. The primary obstacle has always been security. Most methods of bringing Bitcoin into DeFi require users to lock their BTC with custodians or rely on cross-chain bridges that have repeatedly become targets for some of crypto’s largest hacks.
Sui believes it has found a different approach.
The Layer 1 blockchain has officially launched the Hashi testnet, introducing infrastructure designed to make native Bitcoin usable as programmable collateral while avoiding many of the risks traditionally associated with bridging assets between blockchains. If successful, the project could unlock a new chapter for Bitcoin finance by allowing institutions and developers to build financial products around BTC without compromising its security model.
Unlocking Bitcoin’s Idle Capital
Bitcoin remains the dominant cryptocurrency by market capitalization, but its role has largely been limited to that of a store of value. Unlike smart contract platforms such as Ethereum or Solana, the Bitcoin network offers only limited support for complex decentralized financial applications.
That has created a paradox.
The largest pool of digital capital in the world is also one of the least productive. While Ethereum-based assets routinely participate in lending markets, decentralized exchanges and collateralized borrowing, most Bitcoin remains dormant inside wallets or institutional custody.
Hashi aims to change that dynamic.
Originally introduced earlier this year, the protocol is designed to transform native BTC into usable collateral for decentralized financial services without requiring users to abandon the security guarantees of the Bitcoin network itself.
Rather than encouraging holders to move their Bitcoin onto another blockchain through conventional wrapped assets, Hashi seeks to provide secure on-chain infrastructure that enables lending, borrowing and credit markets to interact with native BTC.
Moving Beyond Traditional Bridges
Cross-chain bridges have become one of the weakest links in the blockchain ecosystem.
Over the past several years, bridge exploits have accounted for billions of dollars in stolen crypto assets. Many attacks exploited flaws in smart contracts, validator compromises or weaknesses in key management systems that protected locked funds.
For institutional investors, these risks remain one of the biggest barriers to using Bitcoin within decentralized finance.
Hashi attempts to reduce those concerns through a different architectural approach.
Instead of relying solely on bridge validators, the protocol introduces additional verification layers intended to make unauthorized transfers significantly more difficult. The goal is not simply to connect two blockchains but to create infrastructure that institutions can trust with high-value collateral.
While no system can eliminate risk entirely, reducing dependence on a single validation mechanism represents an important step toward stronger security.
Introducing the Guardian Layer
The centerpiece of the Hashi testnet is what Sui calls the Guardian Layer.
The security model introduces a defense-in-depth architecture built around a two-of-two multisignature requirement.
In practice, every critical action requires approval from both Hashi validators and an independent group of guardians before it can be executed.
This separation reduces the likelihood that a compromise affecting one participant could immediately threaten user funds.
Traditional bridge designs often depend on a single validator committee or multisignature arrangement. If enough validator keys are compromised, attackers may gain control over locked assets.
Hashi distributes responsibility across independent entities, requiring multiple layers of authorization before collateral can move.
For institutions managing significant Bitcoin positions, this additional verification could provide greater confidence than conventional bridge models.
Bitcoin Remains on the Bitcoin Network
Perhaps the most significant aspect of Hashi is its emphasis on preserving Bitcoin’s native security.
Instead of encouraging users to permanently relocate BTC onto another blockchain, the protocol is designed so that Bitcoin remains secured by its original network while still becoming usable within applications built on Sui.
That distinction matters.
Institutional investors have historically expressed concerns about wrapped Bitcoin solutions because they introduce additional trust assumptions beyond Bitcoin’s own consensus mechanism.
Hashi attempts to minimize those assumptions while still allowing BTC to participate in programmable financial applications.
The result is a model that seeks to combine Bitcoin’s security with Sui’s smart contract capabilities.
Why Institutions Are Paying Attention
Institutional interest in Bitcoin has grown dramatically following the approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and increasing corporate adoption.
Yet many large investors continue to treat Bitcoin as a passive asset.
Unlocking lending, collateral management and structured credit products could significantly expand Bitcoin’s role within institutional portfolios.
Financial firms increasingly want digital assets capable of generating yield, supporting financing transactions or serving as collateral for broader investment strategies.
If infrastructure like Hashi proves secure and scalable, Bitcoin may begin functioning less like a static reserve asset and more like productive financial collateral.
That shift could increase liquidity across decentralized markets while creating entirely new categories of Bitcoin-native financial products.
A Growing Trend Toward Bitcoin DeFi
Hashi is part of a broader movement often referred to as Bitcoin Finance or BTCFi.
Rather than competing with Bitcoin, these projects seek to extend its utility by integrating it with decentralized finance while preserving its role as the underlying asset.
Several blockchain ecosystems are now racing to attract Bitcoin liquidity through sidechains, rollups, interoperability protocols and specialized infrastructure.
The opportunity is enormous.
With Bitcoin representing well over a trillion dollars in market value, even a modest percentage of active participation in decentralized finance would rival the size of many existing DeFi ecosystems.
For Layer 1 networks, attracting Bitcoin liquidity has become one of the industry’s most important strategic objectives.
Challenges Still Remain
Despite the promise, Hashi remains in its testing phase.
Security models involving multiple validators, guardians and cross-chain communication require extensive real-world testing before institutions are likely to entrust significant capital to the system.
Every additional layer of infrastructure introduces operational complexity that must be carefully audited and monitored.
Regulatory considerations also remain an important factor, particularly as institutional lending products involving digital assets continue evolving across different jurisdictions.
The long-term success of Hashi will ultimately depend not only on its technical architecture but also on developer adoption, institutional participation and a sustained security record.
A New Chapter for Bitcoin Utility
For years, the crypto industry has debated whether Bitcoin should remain purely digital gold or evolve into a more active component of decentralized finance.
Hashi represents another attempt to bridge that divide without asking users to compromise the qualities that made Bitcoin valuable in the first place.
By combining programmable infrastructure with a layered security model centered around its Guardian Layer, Sui hopes to make Bitcoin usable as collateral while leaving it anchored to the network that secures it.
Whether Hashi becomes the standard for Bitcoin finance remains uncertain. What is clear is that competition to unlock Bitcoin’s vast dormant liquidity is accelerating.
If secure infrastructure can finally bring institutional lending, borrowing and credit markets to native BTC, the next major growth story in decentralized finance may not revolve around creating new digital assets—it may come from putting the oldest one to work.
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